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Transcript

Drug Dealin Ep. 7: Biotech M&A Insights

CVRs, Patent Cliffs & The Pfizer-Novo Bidding War

SUMMARY

In this deep dive into biopharma M&A trends, Shivu and Kenny analyze 10 years of acquisition data from major pharma players, revealing rising deal volumes and the increasing prevalence of Contingent Value Rights (CVRs) as risk mitigation tools. The hosts dissect the unprecedented Pfizer-Novo bidding war over Metsera, examining how this “interloper” situation reflects broader industry dynamics around patent cliffs and portfolio diversification strategies. The episode provides insider perspectives on why investors never seem satisfied with “enough” M&A activity and how companies balance internal R&D with external acquisitions in their portfolio approach.

CHAPTERS

00:00 Introduction to M&A in Biopharma

03:35 Understanding Contingent Value Rights (CVRs)

06:47 Recent M&A Deals and Trends

13:17 Impact of Patent Cliffs on M&A Activity

17:43 The Portfolio Approach to Drug Development

22:00 Current Trends in Deal Volume and CVR Usage

28:58 Valuation Trends in Late-Stage Companies

32:51 The Buyer-Seller Dynamic in Pharma Deals

38:27 Evaluating CVRs and Acquirer Capabilities

42:31 GenMab’s Strategic Acquisition and Market Positioning

48:11 The Rise of the Biotech Middle Class

55:49 The Aggressive Landscape of Pharma Hiring

56:56 Innovation in RNA Interventions

57:53 The Metsera Bidding War Begins

01:00:11 Pfizer’s Acquisition Strategy Unfolds

01:03:48 Regulatory Implications and Government Influence

01:07:41 The Future of Metabolic Disease Treatments

01:10:27 Interloper Behavior in Pharma Acquisitions

01:15:35 The Role of Government Relationships in Pharma

01:19:05 Concluding Thoughts on M&A Trends

01:22:14 OUTRO

DOWNLOADS:

  • M&A and CVR analysis available here:

    Cvr Analysis Report
    1.59MB ∙ PDF file
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    Download

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DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are for informational and educational purposes only. They are not intended as medical advice and should not be used as a substitute for professional medical judgment or guidance. Always consult a qualified healthcare provider with any questions you may have regarding a medical condition or treatment.

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